Select Page

A New Era With the Same Erdoğan

A New Era With the Same Erdoğan

With Sunday’s presidential and parliamentary elections, a new era has begun in Turkey.

The parliamentary democratic governance is now replaced officially with an autocratic presidential governance system. Worse, in the new system there is no checks and balances and the country might soon find itself heading fast to a full-fledged autocracy.

Contrary to expectations, incumbent Recep Tayyip Erdoğan made it in the first vote and with over 52 percent of the votes cast. He was elected as president to a second term in office. Was it indeed a second term, or was this his first under the new system? That will be a discussion of the years to come as if it was his second, he could not compete for a third term unless he calls for elections at least one year before his term expires. We have time for such a discussion.

Was their fraud? Were the results rigged? Most probably. But as the CHP presidential candidate conceded in his press conference called to declare his acceptance of defeat, the amount of rigging was not anywhere near to change the overall result. Thus, perhaps it is wiser to stop wasting time with such discussions and instead concentrate on how future contests would be waged. Municipal elections are around the corner and the CHP risks losing all its major seats, including the seat of mayor in Eskişehir, to the AKP.

It was a long and traumatic night for all polling companies of Turkey as well as those international ones hired by Turks to estimate the outcome of the June 24 twin vote. To cut it short, with no exception, they all failed though some were closer to the outcome, some were as alien as a star in outer space.

A polling company executive that I happened to spend some hours of the election night together with him and some other friends kept on repeating that the results reported on all TV channels were manipulated or at least handpicked from a pool. As it was only the semi-official Anatolia News Agency (AA) reporting the results from the Supreme Electoral Board and since the AA has long become a mouthpiece of the government, he was confident that as the night progressed the results would prove correct the estimates his polling company released. Alas, main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) candidate Muharrem İnce conceded defeat just a while after midnight, killing all the hopes of my friend.

He was not alone, of course. Many people shared his hope that by the end of the night figures would change and probably if not in the presidential vote at least in the parliamentary one the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) would lose. That hope became true partially. For the second time in its history the AKP lost parliamentary majority. The first one was in June 2015 when Erdoğan did not like the outcome, did not allow creation of a coalition government and forced the country to go to a repeat election in November. In the meantime, hundreds of Turks had lost their lives to political chaos-fed terrorist actions. Now, the president cannot do that, as calling a new election would mean calling for presidential vote repeat, as well. On the other hand there is a remedy at hand. The Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), which was in an election alliance with the AKP, has scored a major electoral victory and maintained its 2015 vote share though it just gave birth to the Good Party (IYI). Indeed, it could be said that besides Erdoğan the MHP was the only other winner of Sunday’s twin vote.

Yet, Sunday’s parliamentary vote showed that an era of cohabitation – if not a formal coalition – has started and in this new period the minority partner MHP will most likely be at the steering wheel.

On the left, on the other hand, İnce managed to get over 30 percent of the vote. That was a first for a social democrat leader since late Bülent Ecevit’s great electoral successes of the 1970s. Will he sit back and enjoy the moment or will he use the power the electorate gave to him to claim leadership of the CHP or perhaps mayoral seat of a major city, Ankara, İzmir or perhaps even İstanbul? That’s as well yet an immature discussion but very likely will aggregate soon.

About The Author

Yusuf Kanli

Born in Cyprus in 1959, Yusuf Kanlı is a graduate of the English Language and Literature Department of the Faculty of Letters of the Ankara University. He started journalism with the Turkish Daily News in 1978. Until he briefly left the paper in 1985 (for military service in Northern Cyprus) he served as diplomatic correspondent, assistant foreign news editor and assistant editor. During this period he was as well one of the two co-authors of an annual reference book on Turkey, “Turkey Almanac”. After completing his military service he returned the Daily News as assistant editor. In 1989 he became executive editor and also started writing daily opinion articles. He continued to be one of the co-authors of the “Turkey Almanac” annual reference book. In February 1993, over differences with the publisher on editorial policy, he quit the paper and joined the Anatolia News Agency (AA) as deputy foreign news chief. He stayed with the Anatolia News Agency until September 1995. In this period, he covered the Armenia-Azerbaijan war over Nogorno-Karabagh, covered developments in the post-independence Central Asian republics. Because of his refusal as the duty editor to run a manipulated news story demanded by the then lady prime minister of the country, he was fired from the AA, a development that Kanlı considers as his “medal of honor” in the profession. On his return to the Daily News for a third time in October 1995, he first became an editor at large but soon assumed the responsibility of electronic publishing and established Turkey’s first daily updated English language news web site, the TDN Online on May 19, 1996 (now www.hurriyetdailynews.com). In January 1997, he became executive editor of the Daily News for a second time and stayed in that post until he was appointed as editor-in-chief in June 2004. In February 2007, he quit all executive duties and became a contract columnist of the newspaper. He has been also writing weekly articles in Turkish for a variety of newspapers and news portals in Northern Cyprus. He is a former chairperson and the honorary chairperson of Diplomacy Correspondents Association (DMD) of Turkey, an active member of Association of Foreign Policy Council, a member of the executive board and vice chairperson of the Association of Journalists and coordinator of the Press for Freedom project, which has been monitoring and reporting on press and freedom of expression issues in Turkey since 2013. He has been a member of several associations and foundations, mostly established by Turkish Cypriots living in Turkey or abroad. He is married to Dr. Aydan Kanlı and has one daughter, Cansu. He has Turkish, Turkish Cypriot and Cypriot triple nationality.

More in Electoral fraud, Justice and Development Party (Turkey), Nationalist Movement Party, Presidential system, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Republican People's Party (Turkey)
How Did Erdogan Win?
How Did Erdogan Win? #TurkishElections2018

24 June elections have been a benchmark for Turkey. Turkey will be governed by a new regime. The old head...

Close